Portuarios vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
POR
2 - 0
CFB
23%
22%
55%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 0
POR
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
POR
2 - 2
POL
20%
23%
57%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
XER
1 - 2
POR
35%
25%
41%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
OLI
18%
22%
60%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ALT
2 - 1
PEG
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
PEG
3 - 2
BEL
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
RAC
0 - 0
PEG
34%
24%
41%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
PEG
1 - 1
DAI
47%
24%
29%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CUL
0 - 0
PEG
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |