Portsmouth vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CRA
0 - 3
OPA
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
OPA
2 - 2
BOU
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
OPA
0 - 1
OLD
69%
20%
11%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CUM
4 - 2
OPA
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
COL
2 - 2
OPA
36%
27%
38%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
WAL
1 - 0
MKD
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
WAL
2 - 2
BRE
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
QPR
3 - 0
WAL
77%
16%
7%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NOT
0 - 1
WAL
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
OLD
1 - 1
WAL
42%
28%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |