Portsmouth vs Reading Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
OPA
1 - 2
DON
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
BPO
3 - 1
OPA
33%
28%
40%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
OPA
5 - 1
BAR
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
STA
1 - 0
OPA
48%
25%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
OPA
4 - 2
WYC
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Reading Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
BRO
2 - 3
REA
75%
17%
9%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |