Portsmouth vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
52.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
OPA
3 - 3
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 0
OPA
43%
26%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
PLY
1 - 2
OPA
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
OPA
2 - 1
DER
13%
20%
67%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
OPA
3 - 0
DAG
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
REA
0 - 0
MKD
38%
27%
36%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
SHW
1 - 1
REA
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
REA
0 - 0
LEE
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
REA
29%
24%
47%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BIR
2 - 1
REA
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |