Portsmouth vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
STO
3 - 0
OPA
76%
17%
7%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
OXF
0 - 1
OPA
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
OPA
2 - 0
NOR
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
OPA
2 - 1
CAM
42%
29%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
OPA
1 - 0
POS
20%
22%
58%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 1
BUR
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 0
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MOR
3 - 2
NEW
42%
26%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
REA
3 - 1
NEW
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
NEW
0 - 2
WYC
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |