Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
OPA
0 - 0
ARS
20%
26%
54%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
LIV
4 - 1
OPA
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
OPA
0 - 1
TOT
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
ASV
1 - 3
OPA
45%
28%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
OPA
0 - 0
EVE
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
BIR
3 - 0
MID
43%
28%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
MID
1 - 2
WHU
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
DER
0 - 1
MID
34%
28%
39%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
MID
2 - 1
ARS
21%
26%
53%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
REA
1 - 1
MID
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |