Portsmouth vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
41.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
OLD
0 - 0
OPA
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
OPA
4 - 0
WBA
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1996 |
OPA
1 - 1
BIR
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
STO
3 - 1
OPA
61%
24%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
IPS
1 - 1
OPA
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
MAC
2 - 3
OXF
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
SWI
2 - 0
MAC
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1996 |
SOU
2 - 3
MAC
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
MAC
0 - 1
WOL
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
MAC
2 - 1
NOR
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |