Portsmouth vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
19.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
OPA
2 - 1
CRY
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
DON
3 - 4
OPA
27%
28%
45%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
OPA
0 - 1
MIL
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 2
OPA
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
OPA
1 - 5
BUR
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
DER
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
DER
0 - 1
MID
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
LEE
0 - 2
DER
69%
19%
13%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
DER
0 - 0
IPS
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BRI
1 - 1
DER
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |