Portsmouth vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 0
OPA
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
MUD
2 - 0
OPA
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
OPA
1 - 0
BOL
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
OPA
2 - 2
WBA
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
HUL
0 - 0
OPA
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
MUD
1 - 0
ARS
57%
22%
20%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ARS
2 - 0
MID
73%
18%
9%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
LIV
4 - 4
ARS
50%
24%
26%
|
94 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ARS
1 - 2
CHL
41%
27%
32%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
ARS
3 - 0
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |