Porto II vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
ARO
2 - 2
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
POR
1 - 2
GFC
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
RDA
1 - 0
POR
7%
13%
80%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ACA
2 - 1
POR
39%
28%
34%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
POR
1 - 0
VSC
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 1
FAM
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEN
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 1
OLI
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 1
MOR
23%
25%
53%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 0
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |