Porto Alegre vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
46%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto Alegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
POR
3 - 2
ECA
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
ISM
2 - 1
POR
62%
22%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
JUV
1 - 1
POR
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
POR
1 - 2
ESP
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
POR
5 - 2
YPI
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
NOV
3 - 3
SCI
10%
21%
69%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ESP
2 - 1
NOV
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
NOV
0 - 0
YPI
59%
21%
21%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 1
NOV
84%
12%
5%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
NOV
3 - 1
JUV
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +2 |