Portland United vs Fareham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
48.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portland United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
COW
0 - 0
POR
26%
21%
53%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
POR
3 - 2
MON
17%
18%
64%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
POR
4 - 1
BLA
39%
22%
39%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
POR
4 - 2
ALR
55%
21%
25%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LAV
1 - 0
POR
48%
21%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Fareham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FAR
3 - 1
LAV
79%
12%
9%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
FAR
5 - 2
ALR
86%
9%
5%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FAR
0 - 5
BOU
73%
14%
12%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 3
FAR
16%
18%
67%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FAR
7 - 2
COW
82%
11%
7%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |