Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
23.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portland Timbers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
GAL
4 - 1
POR
32%
24%
44%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
MIN
2 - 1
POR
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
POR
2 - 1
LAN
35%
25%
41%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
DAL
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
AUS
4 - 1
POR
36%
24%
40%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
San Jose Earthquakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
SES
0 - 1
SJE
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
SJE
1 - 1
HOD
45%
25%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
KCW
1 - 1
SJE
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
SJE
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
MIN
2 - 2
SJE
52%
23%
24%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |