Portimonense vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SCP
3 - 1
POR
71%
18%
10%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
AVE
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 0
POR
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
POR
0 - 1
RIO
40%
25%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 1
POR
31%
27%
43%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 2
TON
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
NAC
36%
25%
39%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
4 - 0
FEI
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SLB
10 - 0
NAC
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
VST
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |