Primeira Liga . Jor. 5

Portimonense vs Famalicão analysis

Portimonense Famalicão
68 ELO 72
-10.1% Tilt -6.7%
1600º General ELO ranking 638º
25º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
30.9%
Portimonense
27.3%
Draw
41.8%
Famalicão

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
Portimonense
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
41.8%
Win probability
Famalicão
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Portimonense
-13%
-6%
Famalicão

Points and table prediction

Portimonense
Their league position
Famalicão
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
15º
15º
44
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Benfica
87
87
100%
Porto
85
85
100%
Sporting Braga
78
78
100%
Sporting CP
74
74
100%
Arouca
54
54
100%
Vitória Guimarães
53
53
100%
Chaves
46
46
100%
Famalicão
44
44
0%
Boavista
44
44
0%
Casa Pia AC
10º
41
41
10º
100%
Vizela
11º
40
40
11º
100%
Rio Ave
12º
40
40
12º
100%
Gil Vicente
13º
37
37
13º
100%
Estoril
14º
35
35
14º
100%
Portimonense
15º
34
34
15º
100%
Marítimo
16º
26
26
16º
100%
Paços de Ferreira
17º
23
23
17º
100%
CD Santa Clara
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Portimonense
Famalicão
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Portimonense
Famalicão
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Portimonense
Portimonense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2022
MAR
Marítimo
0 - 1
Portimonense
POR
35%
29%
36%
67 66 1 0
21 Aug. 2022
POR
Portimonense
2 - 1
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
25%
29%
46%
66 77 11 +1
15 Aug. 2022
PAÇ
Paços de Ferreira
0 - 3
Portimonense
POR
47%
28%
26%
65 68 3 +1
07 Aug. 2022
POR
Portimonense
0 - 1
Boavista
BOA
31%
28%
41%
65 71 6 0
30 Jul. 2022
POR
Portimonense
2 - 1
Estrela da Amadora
ESA
62%
21%
18%
65 53 12 0

Matches

Famalicão
Famalicão
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2022
FAM
Famalicão
1 - 0
CD Santa Clara
SAN
43%
27%
30%
72 73 1 0
22 Aug. 2022
GFC
Gil Vicente
0 - 0
Famalicão
FAM
41%
27%
33%
71 72 1 +1
12 Aug. 2022
FAM
Famalicão
0 - 3
Sporting Braga
SPB
19%
23%
58%
72 84 12 -1
06 Aug. 2022
EST
Estoril
2 - 0
Famalicão
FAM
35%
26%
39%
73 67 6 -1
15 May. 2022
FAM
Famalicão
3 - 2
Sporting Braga
SPB
19%
24%
57%
72 85 13 +1
X