Prev. Taça da Liga . Final
Global 3-4
Portimonense vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
POR
2 - 2
ACA
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2010 |
VIT
2 - 0
POR
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2010 |
AVE
3 - 2
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
POR
0 - 1
SLB
12%
19%
69%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
POR
2 - 0
CIN
84%
12%
5%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
EST
2 - 0
AVE
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2010 |
AVE
2 - 0
FAT
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2010 |
AVE
3 - 2
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 1
AVE
35%
29%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
AVE
1 - 2
GFC
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |