Porthmadog vs Grange Quins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
POR
2 - 1
POR
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
POR
5 - 0
CEF
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
TNS
7 - 0
POR
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
POR
0 - 2
ABE
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
ABE
4 - 1
POR
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Grange Quins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
CEF
7 - 0
GRA
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
GRA
2 - 5
ABE
30%
25%
46%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
GRA
0 - 1
AIR
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2006 |
CWM
1 - 1
GRA
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
LLA
1 - 0
GRA
64%
19%
17%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |