Porthmadog vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
PRE
1 - 0
POR
63%
19%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
NEA
3 - 2
POR
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
POR
0 - 2
BAL
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2009 |
BAN
2 - 0
POR
70%
19%
12%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
TNS
19%
24%
57%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
NEA
1 - 1
CEF
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
CEF
0 - 2
NEW
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
BAN
3 - 1
CEF
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
AIR
1 - 1
CEF
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
CEF
0 - 1
CAR
22%
24%
55%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |