Porthmadog vs Caersws analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
21.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
POR
5 - 1
CAA
76%
14%
10%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
POR
1 - 3
FLI
14%
21%
65%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
RTW
1 - 1
POR
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
PRE
37%
21%
42%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AAA
1 - 1
POR
19%
19%
62%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 3
GUI
20%
22%
58%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AIR
3 - 3
CAE
83%
11%
6%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
3 - 2
AAA
68%
16%
16%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HOL
3 - 1
CAE
84%
11%
5%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 3
CPD
85%
10%
6%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -1 |