NIFL Premiership Temporada Regular. Jor. 29

Portadown vs Glenavon analysis

Portadown Glenavon
43 ELO 57
1.4% Tilt 7.8%
2303º General ELO ranking 2202º
11º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
14.1%
Portadown
19.4%
Draw
66.5%
Glenavon

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
Portadown
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
66.5%
Win probability
Glenavon
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Portadown
+2%
-34%
Glenavon

Points and table prediction

Portadown
Their league position
Glenavon
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
11º
12º
12º
39
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Larne
73
73
100%
Linfield
68
68
100%
Cliftonville
66
66
100%
Glentoran
65
65
100%
Crusaders
62
62
100%
Coleraine
58
58
100%
Glenavon
39
39
100%
Carrick Rangers
37
37
100%
Ballymena United
32
32
100%
Newry City
10º
23
23
10º
100%
Dungannon Swifts
11º
23
23
11º
100%
Portadown
12º
16
16
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Portadown
Glenavon
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 100%

ELO progression

Portadown
Glenavon
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Portadown
Portadown
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 2023
CLI
Cliftonville
3 - 0
Portadown
POR
84%
12%
4%
42 71 29 0
11 Feb. 2023
BAL
Ballymena United
0 - 0
Portadown
POR
75%
17%
9%
41 61 20 +1
04 Feb. 2023
POR
Portadown
0 - 3
Glentoran
GLE
8%
16%
76%
42 68 26 -1
28 Jan. 2023
POR
Portadown
1 - 6
Linfield
LIN
7%
19%
75%
42 71 29 0
24 Jan. 2023
LAR
Larne
2 - 0
Portadown
POR
80%
15%
5%
43 71 28 -1

Matches

Glenavon
Glenavon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 2023
GLE
Glenavon
2 - 2
Crusaders
CRU
24%
24%
52%
57 71 14 0
10 Feb. 2023
LAR
Larne
3 - 0
Glenavon
GLE
59%
23%
19%
58 71 13 -1
04 Feb. 2023
GLE
Glenavon
0 - 1
Harland & Wolff Welders
HAR
70%
17%
13%
59 49 10 -1
28 Jan. 2023
CAR
Carrick Rangers
1 - 1
Glenavon
GLE
23%
22%
55%
59 49 10 0
24 Jan. 2023
GLE
Glenavon
1 - 3
Cliftonville
CLI
29%
26%
46%
60 71 11 -1
X