Portadown vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
59.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
GLE
2 - 1
POR
62%
22%
17%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CRU
5 - 0
POR
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
DUN
0 - 3
POR
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
POR
0 - 0
BAL
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CLI
5 - 0
POR
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
CRU
3 - 3
LAR
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
CLI
2 - 2
CRU
29%
24%
48%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
CRU
4 - 0
WAR
77%
16%
7%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CRU
5 - 0
POR
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -2 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CRU
2 - 0
GLE
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |