Port Vale vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
POR
3 - 2
LEY
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SCU
0 - 1
POR
22%
26%
53%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
POR
2 - 0
TOW
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SWI
1 - 2
POR
44%
26%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
POR
2 - 3
ROC
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 0
ROC
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ROC
0 - 1
OLD
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
BUR
4 - 1
ROC
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
ROC
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 0
TRA
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |