Port Vale vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 3
POR
33%
25%
42%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 0
POR
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 1
POR
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
POR
4 - 1
WYC
60%
23%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
POR
3 - 0
OXF
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 1
ROC
43%
24%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ROC
0 - 0
FLE
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
ROC
2 - 0
OXF
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
PLY
3 - 1
ROC
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ROC
1 - 2
MOR
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |