Championship Round 4

Port Vale vs Reading analysis

Port Vale Reading
64 ELO 63
-0.9% Tilt -2.5%
2695º General ELO ranking 1534º
68º Country ELO ranking 50º
ELO win probability
53%
Port Vale
24.9%
Draw
22.1%
Reading

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
Port Vale
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.1%
Win probability
Reading
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Port Vale
+13%
-8%
Reading

ELO progression

Port Vale
Reading
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Port Vale
Port Vale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 1997
MID
Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Port Vale
POR
80%
13%
7%
64 78 14 0
21 Oct. 1997
POR
Port Vale
4 - 1
Huddersfield Town
HUR
62%
22%
16%
63 56 7 +1
18 Oct. 1997
POR
Port Vale
0 - 0
Bradford City
BRA
54%
24%
22%
63 61 2 0
12 Oct. 1997
STO
Stoke City
2 - 1
Port Vale
POR
49%
27%
24%
64 64 0 -1
04 Oct. 1997
SWI
Swindon Town
4 - 2
Port Vale
POR
43%
27%
30%
65 59 6 -1

Matches

Reading
Reading
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 1997
REA
Reading
3 - 3
Nottingham Forest
NTT
28%
27%
45%
63 77 14 0
21 Oct. 1997
NOR
Norwich City
0 - 0
Reading
REA
42%
28%
30%
63 60 3 0
18 Oct. 1997
MAC
Manchester City
0 - 0
Reading
REA
59%
23%
18%
63 66 3 0
14 Oct. 1997
REA
Reading
4 - 2
Wolves
WOL
45%
25%
30%
61 66 5 +2
11 Oct. 1997
REA
Reading
3 - 3
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
56%
24%
20%
61 58 3 0