Port Vale vs Newcastle Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
STE
2 - 0
POR
67%
20%
14%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
POR
1 - 2
STA
27%
27%
46%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
YEO
1 - 1
POR
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
FOR
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
LUT
2 - 0
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
CRE
1 - 2
NWC
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |