Port Vale vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
TOW
0 - 2
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
EXE
29%
27%
45%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 3
POR
58%
24%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
COL
0 - 1
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
POR
2 - 1
NEW
21%
26%
53%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 1
SOU
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 1
MOR
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 0
CHE
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
TOW
0 - 1
MOR
40%
27%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 3
NEW
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |