Port Vale vs Liverpool Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
8.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
POR
5 - 1
STA
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 4
POR
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
POR
3 - 0
COL
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
POR
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
POR
3 - 1
BAR
51%
26%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Liverpool Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
BOL
4 - 1
LIV
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
ROC
4 - 0
LIV
77%
14%
9%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
POR
4 - 2
LIV
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
TRA
3 - 2
LIV
71%
16%
12%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
WIG
6 - 1
LIV
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | -1 |