Port Vale vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 2
POR
70%
18%
11%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
BAR
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
POR
3 - 0
BUR
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
STA
2 - 2
POR
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
CRE
47%
25%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
HER
2 - 3
SOU
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 1
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 2
HER
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
AFC
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
GIL
5 - 4
HER
61%
23%
17%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |