Port Vale vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1892 |
BOO
1 - 1
POR
37%
24%
39%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1892 |
MAC
2 - 0
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1892 |
BIR
5 - 1
POR
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1892 |
CRE
4 - 2
NOR
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1892 |
CRE
1 - 0
GRI
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +3 |
| 03 Sep. 1892 |
BUR
7 - 1
CRE
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1888 |
PNE
4 - 0
CRE
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1888 |
MID
0 - 2
CRE
71%
17%
11%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | +2 |