Port Melbourne Sharks vs Sunshine Georgies analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Melbourne Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
POR
1 - 3
DAN
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
BUL
1 - 5
POR
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
PAS
31%
26%
43%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
HUM
38%
25%
37%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
POR
1 - 3
AVH
30%
23%
47%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sunshine Georgies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
MPS
0 - 3
SGC
49%
21%
30%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SGC
0 - 0
AVH
12%
17%
71%
|
8 | 33 | 25 | +2 |