Port Melbourne Sharks vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Melbourne Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
OAK
19%
23%
58%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
STA
0 - 2
POR
13%
19%
68%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
HEU
63%
19%
17%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
DAN
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 1
POR
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 2
SOU
11%
18%
70%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
SOU
2 - 2
HUM
84%
11%
5%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
SOU
0 - 2
OAK
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
SOU
4 - 0
STA
86%
10%
4%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2023 |
SOU
3 - 2
DAN
77%
16%
8%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |