Pontivy vs Ergué-Gaberic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
7º
7º
32
5º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PLA
3 - 1
PON
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PON
2 - 2
CPB
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VAN
2 - 1
PON
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PON
1 - 1
STA
17%
23%
60%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
STA
2 - 3
PON
22%
23%
56%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ergué-Gaberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ERG
0 - 2
VIT
15%
18%
67%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 1
ERG
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 3
ERG
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ERG
3 - 0
CPB
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 0
ERG
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |