US Le Pontet vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Le Pontet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
MON
2 - 3
LEP
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LEP
3 - 1
CON
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
PAU
7 - 2
LEP
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
LEP
1 - 2
MAR
51%
26%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
HYE
4 - 1
LEP
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
UZE
39%
28%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
COL
1 - 1
MAR
46%
27%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
SAE
35%
28%
37%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
LEP
1 - 2
MAR
51%
26%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
COL
31%
29%
40%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |