Pontefract Collieries vs Frickley Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
20.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontefract Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
PON
0 - 3
BRI
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2019 |
PON
3 - 1
OUF
53%
21%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
PON
3 - 0
GRE
89%
8%
3%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
OUF
1 - 1
PON
41%
22%
38%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
PON
3 - 0
SHE
52%
21%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Frickley Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
HYD
2 - 0
FRI
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
FRI
2 - 2
MAT
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
FRI
2 - 6
THE
19%
20%
61%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
FRI
1 - 2
MAL
75%
14%
10%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 1
FRI
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |