Série A Primera Fase Grupo D. Jor. 1

Ponte Preta vs Villa Nova analysis

Ponte Preta Villa Nova
79 ELO 65
-4.1% Tilt -15.6%
718º General ELO ranking 4021º
34º Country ELO ranking 133º
ELO win probability
74.1%
Ponte Preta
17.1%
Draw
8.9%
Villa Nova

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
Ponte Preta
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.9%
Win probability
Villa Nova
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ponte Preta
-16%
+2%
Villa Nova

ELO progression

Ponte Preta
Villa Nova
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ponte Preta
Ponte Preta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Apr. 1983
PPE
Ponte Preta
2 - 1
Sport Recife
SPO
54%
24%
22%
80 80 0 0
30 Mar. 1983
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
3 - 0
Ponte Preta
PPE
66%
21%
13%
80 85 5 0
26 Mar. 1983
SCI
Internacional
1 - 0
Ponte Preta
PPE
58%
23%
18%
80 82 2 0
19 Mar. 1983
PPE
Ponte Preta
2 - 2
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
43%
27%
31%
80 85 5 0
17 Mar. 1983
PPE
Ponte Preta
2 - 2
Internacional
SCI
52%
26%
22%
80 83 3 0

Matches

Villa Nova
Villa Nova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Nov. 1979
VIL
Villa Nova
3 - 2
Americano
AME
47%
27%
25%
66 73 7 0
25 Nov. 1979
USC
Uberaba SC
2 - 0
Villa Nova
VIL
62%
23%
15%
67 75 8 -1
22 Nov. 1979
VIL
Villa Nova
1 - 4
Leônico Salvador
ADL
39%
28%
34%
67 78 11 0
18 Nov. 1979
CRZ
Cruzeiro
4 - 1
Villa Nova
VIL
83%
12%
6%
68 90 22 -1
15 Nov. 1979
DBO
Dom Bosco
0 - 1
Villa Nova
VIL
64%
21%
15%
67 71 4 +1
X