Ponte Preta vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
51.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 0
PPE
72%
18%
11%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
POR
1 - 1
PPE
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2006 |
PPE
1 - 0
POR
79%
13%
8%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
PPE
2 - 2
GUA
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2006 |
ITU
2 - 2
PPE
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
SAO
3 - 0
MOG
88%
9%
3%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
SAO
5 - 1
PAU
76%
16%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
BRA
3 - 3
SAO
10%
18%
72%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
POR
0 - 5
SAO
4%
12%
84%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2006 |
SAO
3 - 1
POR
85%
11%
4%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |