Ponte Preta vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
PPE
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
PPE
3 - 1
ATL
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
IFC
0 - 0
PPE
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
PPE
3 - 3
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
ABC
2 - 1
PPE
27%
27%
47%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
SAO
0 - 1
VAS
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ARN
0 - 0
SAO
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SAO
3 - 1
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BAH
3 - 1
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
SAO
3 - 0
BRA
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |