Ponte Preta vs Portuguesa Santista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
SAO
0 - 0
PPE
69%
18%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
PPE
2 - 0
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
FLA
1 - 1
PPE
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
PPE
1 - 2
SAO
31%
24%
45%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
COT
1 - 1
PPE
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
POR
2 - 2
POR
24%
23%
54%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2003 |
SAO
5 - 0
POR
95%
4%
1%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2003 |
POR
0 - 0
GUA
17%
23%
59%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
POR
3 - 0
PAU
37%
25%
39%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
SAN
0 - 1
POR
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +1 |