Paulista A1 . Jor. 3

Ponte Preta vs Monte Azul analysis

Ponte Preta Monte Azul
67 ELO 57
18% Tilt 0.9%
714º General ELO ranking 4785º
35º Country ELO ranking 178º
ELO win probability
70.7%
Ponte Preta
16.6%
Draw
12.7%
Monte Azul

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
Ponte Preta
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.7%
Win probability
Monte Azul
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ponte Preta
+5%
+2%
Monte Azul

ELO progression

Ponte Preta
Monte Azul
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ponte Preta
Ponte Preta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 2010
SAN
Santos FC
1 - 1
Ponte Preta
PPE
72%
18%
11%
66 82 16 0
16 Jan. 2010
PPE
Ponte Preta
1 - 1
Santo André
SAN
42%
24%
34%
66 73 7 0
28 Nov. 2009
DUQ
Duque de Caxias
4 - 1
Ponte Preta
PPE
38%
26%
36%
68 60 8 -2
21 Nov. 2009
PPE
Ponte Preta
1 - 2
Ceará
CEA
54%
24%
23%
68 69 1 0
14 Nov. 2009
PPE
Ponte Preta
1 - 3
Bahía
BAH
66%
20%
14%
69 61 8 -1

Matches

Monte Azul
Monte Azul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 2010
OES
Oeste
2 - 2
Monte Azul
MON
40%
25%
35%
58 55 3 0
17 Jan. 2010
MON
Monte Azul
1 - 1
Corinthians
COR
15%
21%
64%
57 83 26 +1
14 Jun. 2009
MON
Monte Azul
3 - 2
Rio Branco SP
RIO
48%
24%
28%
56 56 0 +1
07 Jun. 2009
RIO
Rio Branco SP
1 - 0
Monte Azul
MON
42%
25%
34%
57 55 2 -1
19 Apr. 2009
RIO
Rio Claro
2 - 2
Monte Azul
MON
33%
25%
42%
57 51 6 0
X