Ponte Preta vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
PPE
2 - 3
PAL
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
PPE
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
PPE
2 - 0
PAU
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
OES
0 - 0
PPE
25%
24%
51%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
PPE
3 - 1
CRI
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 0
BOT
54%
23%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
PAL
3 - 0
MAR
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
MIR
3 - 3
MAR
31%
24%
45%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 2
SAO
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 1
CEA
47%
24%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |