Ponte Preta vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2021 |
ITU
2 - 1
PPE
24%
24%
52%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
PPE
1 - 2
MIR
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
PPE
0 - 1
INT
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 2
PPE
10%
20%
70%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 0
PPE
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
NOV
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
GUA
27%
26%
46%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 2
PAL
12%
24%
64%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
FER
1 - 2
GUA
37%
27%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
3 - 2
GUA
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |