Ponte Preta vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
PPE
0 - 4
SAN
31%
25%
45%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 0
PPE
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
PPE
1 - 0
CRZ
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
BOT
0 - 1
PPE
37%
27%
37%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
PPE
0 - 2
FFL
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
CRZ
2 - 0
GUA
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 1
ATM
31%
25%
43%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 1
GUA
73%
17%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
GUA
2 - 1
CRI
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 1
GUA
60%
23%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |