Copa do Brasil . 1/32
Global 6-1
Ponte Preta vs Real Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
17.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
20.2%
2-0
19%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
19.5%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
9.5%
2.1%
Win probability
0.25
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2000 |
DOM
1 - 2
PPE
8%
22%
70%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
PPE
0 - 0
GAM
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
COR
1 - 2
PPE
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1999 |
SAO
1 - 0
PPE
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
SCI
1 - 0
PPE
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2000 |
DOM
1 - 2
PPE
8%
22%
70%
|
46 | 80 | 34 | 0 |