Ponte Preta vs Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
PPE
4 - 1
VNG
73%
18%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1985 |
ADL
1 - 2
PPE
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1985 |
VIL
1 - 3
PPE
32%
30%
38%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
UBE
0 - 0
PPE
36%
30%
34%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1985 |
PPE
2 - 0
COR
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1985 |
PIN
1 - 0
BRA
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1985 |
BRA
0 - 0
DES
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1985 |
BRA
2 - 1
BAN
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
BRA
3 - 2
BRA
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1985 |
JEC
1 - 0
BRA
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |