Ourense CF vs Deportivo Fabril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
OUR
1 - 0
RCV
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 1
OUR
37%
26%
37%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
OUR
1 - 0
EST
63%
21%
17%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SIL
1 - 2
OUR
18%
24%
58%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
OUR
2 - 0
ARN
78%
15%
7%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
DEP
3 - 0
BOU
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
EST
2 - 2
DEP
33%
27%
40%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
DEP
6 - 1
SIL
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ARN
0 - 3
DEP
24%
24%
51%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
SOF
0 - 3
DEP
23%
24%
53%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |