Ponferradina vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
46.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
PON
2 - 1
RCF
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
LUG
0 - 2
PON
35%
26%
38%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SDA
1 - 0
PON
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
PON
0 - 3
LEG
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
VAD
2 - 0
PON
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
BUR
0 - 0
VAD
16%
22%
62%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 2
VAD
14%
20%
66%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 2
VAD
3%
12%
84%
|
80 | 30 | 50 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
VAD
3 - 0
HUE
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
IBI
1 - 2
VAD
19%
24%
57%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |