Ponferradina vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
CFP
0 - 1
PON
68%
22%
10%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
PON
0 - 2
VAD
23%
25%
52%
|
37 | 80 | 43 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
PON
3 - 1
LER
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
CFB
2 - 1
PON
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
LEO
1 - 3
PON
61%
25%
15%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
AVI
3 - 0
SEG
55%
24%
21%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
CDU
0 - 3
AVI
42%
27%
31%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
AVI
0 - 0
CDL
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
SAL
0 - 1
AVI
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
AVI
3 - 0
BÉJ
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |