Ponferradina vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
52.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SLA
2 - 2
PON
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PON
1 - 1
GIR
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
UDL
1 - 0
PON
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
PON
0 - 1
ELC
25%
28%
47%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
PON
2 - 1
ALB
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
RAY
3 - 3
ALB
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
VAD
2 - 2
RAY
55%
25%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
RAY
1 - 0
BET
43%
25%
33%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
REC
1 - 1
RAY
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
RAY
1 - 1
GRA
70%
19%
12%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |