Ponferradina vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
49.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
ALM
3 - 1
PON
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
PON
1 - 0
OVI
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
POR
1 - 0
PON
6%
17%
77%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 0
PON
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
PON
0 - 0
UDL
33%
27%
39%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
GIR
2 - 1
LUG
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
GIR
0 - 0
SAB
71%
20%
8%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
CDT
2 - 0
GIR
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
SEG
0 - 2
GIR
7%
16%
78%
|
76 | 44 | 32 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
GIR
0 - 0
RAY
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |