Ponferradina vs Bergantiños FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
13.3%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.6%
1-0
18%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
19.7%
8%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
LUG
4 - 1
PON
60%
25%
16%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
PON
2 - 0
LAL
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
PON
1 - 0
EIB
39%
31%
30%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
AVI
3 - 0
PON
42%
28%
30%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
PON
2 - 0
AVI
69%
18%
12%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Bergantiños FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
BAS
0 - 0
BER
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
BER
1 - 1
AVI
44%
30%
26%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1987 |
PON
1 - 0
BER
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
LEM
2 - 1
BER
64%
24%
12%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
BER
3 - 0
CUL
29%
30%
40%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +4 |